Recent discussions overseas regarding whether Xi Jinping's power has been weakened have attracted significant attention. Several friends have asked me about the ongoing rumors suggesting a decline in Xi's authority, reminiscent of the annual circulation of similar claims regarding potential unrest within Zhongnanhai. In May of this year, a notable rumor focused on how Xi was allegedly criticized during a Politburo meeting. However, such claims often lack substantial evidence.

This current wave of speculation stems from two articles by American think tank scholars, as well as statements from certain U.S. politicians, compounded by the amplifying effect of Chinese social media, creating an illusion of credibility. While outside observers may consider the insights from American think tanks to be more reliable, I argue that these narratives warrant skepticism. Claims supporting the notion of Xi's declining power frequently fall short of provable facts.

Changes in official propaganda serve as a vital indicator of shifts in high-level politics. If any significant power struggles were happening within the elite, it would inevitably be reflected in the official media. As of now, I have seen no shifts in the state propaganda favoring that narrative; Xi remains prominently featured in the news, while Beijing's social environment continues to appear stable.

Assertions regarding Xi's absence from headlines and similar claims do not adequately demonstrate a decrease in his authority. The absence of Xi's name in some official documents does not equate to a loss of power. Conversely, various documents still reference Xi and his thoughts, thus rendering the basis for assessing his authority questionable.

Moreover, while some American think tanks and political figures have begun to doubt Xi Jinping's position, such skepticism often reflects a misunderstanding of the underlying dynamics of CCP politics. Currently, the societal mindset in China is significantly more conservative, with increased support for the existing regime, which in turn reinforces Xi's authority.

In summary, although CCP politics may appear opaque, seasoned observers can discern the signals of power within it. Genuine power shifts are unlikely to remain entirely hidden; they will manifest through changes in propaganda, policy, and historical narratives. Without evident signs of such a shift, one cannot conclude that Xi Jinping is losing power.