On the 12th, US President Trump announced the 'fourth wave' tariff list, imposing a 30% tariff on products from Mexico and the EU, shocking the world. However, Taiwan has not yet received any tariff notifications.

According to the New York Times, Taiwan and India may not be included in the new tariff list, but instead may reach a 'handshake agreement' with the US, which still hides two major variables.

The report analyzes that this so-called handshake agreement may only be a preliminary framework, with details yet to be confirmed. The actual future tax rate may remain between 15% and 20%, and the number of applicable goods may also expand. After all, Trump frequently changes his stance; over the weekend, he announced a tax rate increase for Mexico and the EU to 30%, affecting even countries that had previously negotiated with him.

Concerns persist that this 'change on a whim' model may impact the credibility of the US in international negotiations. Stanford University professor Sykes stated that if the US often breaks promises, other countries will find it hard to see it as a reliable negotiating partner.

Currently, Trump has signed agreements with the UK and Vietnam, but Hanoi authorities are dissatisfied with the 20% tax rate, which was ultimately forced through, raising doubts about whether it's a mere 'signing ceremony' on one side. With less than three weeks left until the trade policy deadline Trump set for August 1, there are worries that he has no intention of negotiating with other countries, but rather plans to impose high tariffs directly, leaving trade partners with no choice but to 'accept the terms'.